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Miners finally see some relief as difficulty decreases 7.32%, making it the largest difficulty reduction in 2022

The crypto industry has always been highly volatile, but few could have predicted the turmoil it experienced in 2022. This year has been unprecedented for the industry, with every aspect affected by the collapse of Luna and FTX.

Aside from retail investors who took considerable losses in these black swan events, Bitcoin miners remain the ones this crisis affected the most.

But it’s not just Bitcoin’s price that’s keeping miners underwater.

Last year, dozens of mining companies went public and acquired cheap debt in the process. The debt, originally intended to expand their operations, has now become a burden. Rapidly declining crypto prices make it nearly impossible for many to service their loans while they struggle with rising energy prices and skyrocketing equipment costs.

This has forced many miners to reduce or completely shut down their operations. As a result, the 7-day average hash rate has decreased by 8.4% in the past month, and 4.6% since the current difficulty epoch began.

Bitcoin’s hash rate peaked in mid-November after entering a parabolic climb in August. However, its fast rise was followed by the most significant single-day decline since July 2021, dropping 13%.

Graph showing Bitcoin’s mean hash rate in 2022 (Source: Glassnode)

So far, the market has seen two major miner capitulation events this year — one caused by the collapse of Luna and the other caused by the FTX fallout. Many public Bitcoin miners have emptied their Bitcoin balance sheets to stay afloat, negatively affecting their stock prices.

Since the beginning of the year, all of the nine largest public Bitcoin miners have seen their stock price plummet, with some losing as much as 98.66% of their value.

Graph showing the stock price for the nine largest public Bitcoin miners in 2022 (Source: CryptoSlate TradingView)

However, the struggling industry could see some relief in the coming days.

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has dropped over 7% in the early hours of Dec. 6. While the drop might seem insignificant on a large scale, it’s the most significant adjustment the industry had seen since July 2021, when China instated its controversial Bitcoin mining ban.

Graph showing Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjustment percent change from 2011 to 2022 (Source: Glassnode)

The 7.32% decrease in difficulty will give miners relief as the year ends, providing at least some support to their thin profit margins. However, we are yet to see how the global hash rate reacts to the decrease in mining difficulty, as it could take another week before a notable change is seen.

Nonetheless, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty remains twice as high as in June 2021. Moreover, the global mining difficulty has continued to increase throughout the year and is now three times as high as in June 2021.

, , Mining, Research

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James Van Straten · 2 days ago
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 06.12.2022

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