Bitcoin and Altcoins Tumble, More Declines To Expect? What Analysts and On-Chain Data Say on the Health of the Crypto Markets

Bitcoin and Altcoins tumbled in a broad-based crypto market selloff in early Tuesday trading. Bitcoin traded to lows of $31,468 to mark the second day of consecutive losses while Ethereum cascaded to lows of $2,351. Nearly all the major Altcoins were seen trading in red except for ThetaFuel (+23.49%), UNUS SED LEO (LEO,+14.00%), Arweave (+7.40%).

Top Altcoins Litecoin (-11.61%), XRP (-9.84%), Internet Computer (ICP,-15.83%), VeChain (-16.54%), SHIBA INU (-14.79%), Terra (LUNA, -17.23%), Chiliz (CZ, -13.53%) were seen posting significant losses as of the time of writing.

Bitcoin’s declines come amid talks of U.S. Federal Reserve tapering economic stimulus and China’s ongoing pressure on crypto Miners. A well-known analyst William Clemente III also indicated that Miners sold more than 5,000 BTC nearly $164 million worth at current prices in the previous week.

El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption did little to move the markets, as Bitcoin plunged to lows last seen since May 23. In recent news, El Salvador was developing a bill to recognize Bitcoin as legal tender, according to President Nayib Bukele.

One of Germany’s largest banks, Deutsche Bank predicts that the U.S. could be in for one of its worst inflationary periods in history with government spending and loose monetary policy likely catalysts for creating conditions last seen in the 1940s and 1970s. These fritters seemed to cause some selling amongst investors who had the intent of entering at lower prices.

BTC/USD Daily Chart

Bitcoin was trading at $31,752 at the time of writing.

More Declines To Expect? This Is What Analysts and On-Chain Data Say

Bitcoin

Crypto Ed, a trader sees Bitcoin’s outlook as uninspiring while stating that a fresh price dip below $30k would be a “miracle”. Popular crypto trader and analyst, RektCapital tweeted on June 5 ”Bitcoin continues to underperform. At this rate, the Death Cross looks set to occur in the next two weeks or so”

The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major sell-off. The death cross appears on a chart when the moving averages cross below each other.

Amid all these, the outlook painted by onchain data remains mixed. A recent report by on-chain data analytics, Santiment titled ”Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a Quick Take on the Health of Crypto Markets” gives a slight ray of optimism. bullish indicator signals for bitcoin include increasing whale holder addresses (100-10,000 BTC held), declining Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges, and negative weighted social sentiment which suggested buying with confidence.

MVRV Ration (30d) (BTC), Courtesy: Santiment

Average trader returns are well into the negative range as would be expected after a 50% dip from Bitcoin’s all-time high back in mid-April. A -18.7% 30-day MVRV is historically a bullish indication. Bearish indicators for Bitcoin are reducing NVT (Token Circulation), Address activity which recently hit a one year low, negative Bitmex’s Perpetual Contract Funding Rate.

Ethereum

Analyst Michael Van de Poppe believes an imminent breakout on Ethereum and Altcoins is underway ”Still, #Altcoins against $BTC are doing fine. Just consolidating. $ETH and $ADA are knocking the doors of the yearly highs and are eager to breakthrough. I think they will once #Bitcoin is bottomed.”

On-chain data is portraying a mixed outlook through tilting towards bullishness for the 2nd largest crypto asset Ethereum. Santiment stated:

”A BITMEX contract funding rate of just 0.043% is considered extremely low compared to Ethereum’s normal resting average. There is plenty of doubt in the air for crypto’s #2 asset, and the ratio went negative for the first time in more than a year earlier this week. This is indicative of crowd fear, which is a bullish event”.

While a lot of Ethereum holders appear to be waiting to see what Bitcoin’s next big move is, Santiment states ”the long-term pattern of keeping ETH tokens off exchanges is still very bullish”.

Image Credit: Shutterstock

 08.06.2021

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